By Ana Cecília Kreter, José Ronaldo de C. Souza Júnior , Pedro Mendes Garcia, Guilherme Soria Bastos Filho, Sérgio De Zen and Cleverton Tiago Carneiro de Santana
In this Outlook edition, the Economic Analysis Group of Ipea’s Directorate for Macroeconomic Policies and Studies (Dimac) together with Conab’s Directorate for Agricultural Policy and Information (Dipai) present estimates for the Brazilian agricultural GDP of 2020. This edition1 is based on the harvest estimates released by the Brazilian Institute for Geography and Statistics (IBGE) and by the National Company for Supply (Conab). Along with the baseline scenario, this Outlook includes an “adverse scenario” (i.e. under-stress scenario) analysis in which the agricultural production is affected by adversities such as the COVID-19 pandemic.